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[SE02] Demographic changes and its impact on the environment
Key message
The population in Slovenia is increasing. In the year 2021, it reached 2.109 million. The natural increase has slightly increased compared to 2020 but remains negative (-4.3 persons per 1,000 population). The net migration rate per 1,000 population has decreased to 1.2. The Slovenian population is aging, as indicated by the increasing old-age dependency ratio year by year. Population projections for the future show a significant decrease in the number of inhabitants in Slovenia by the year 2100 (to 1,888,364). Population growth can increase the demand for natural resources and exert pressures on ecosystems.
Charts
SI-STAT, 2023; Global Footprint Network, 2023.
The number of inhabitants, live births, deaths, immigration and emigration are in units of 1,000 inhabitants. Natural and migration growth and the total birth rate are calculated per 1,000 inhabitants. Data of biocapacity and ecological footprint are given in the unit of global hectare per inhabitant.
Population[1000] | Live births[1000] | Deaths[1000] | Immigrants from abroad[1000] | Emigrants to abroad[1000] | Natural increase[per 1000 inhabit.] | Net migration from abroad [per 1000 inhabit.] | Total fertility rate[per 1000 inhabit.] | Biocapacity[gha per person] | Ecological footprint[gha per person] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1995 | 1989.50 | 19 | 19 | 5.90 | 3.40 | 0 | 0.70 | 1.30 | 2.59 | 4.87 |
2000 | 1987.80 | 18.20 | 18.60 | 6.20 | 3.60 | -0.40 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 2.60 | 5.42 |
2005 | 1997.60 | 18.20 | 18.80 | 15 | 8.60 | -0.70 | 3.20 | 1.30 | 2.60 | 6.11 |
2006 | 2003.40 | 18.90 | 18.20 | 20 | 13.70 | 0.80 | 3.10 | 1.30 | 2.54 | 6.22 |
2007 | 2010.40 | 19.80 | 18.60 | 29.20 | 14.90 | 1.20 | 7.10 | 1.40 | 2.53 | 6.87 |
2008 | 2025.90 | 21.80 | 18.30 | 30.70 | 12.10 | 3.50 | 9.20 | 1.50 | 2.58 | 7.26 |
2010 | 2046.98 | 22.34 | 18.61 | 15.42 | 15.94 | 3.73 | -0.52 | 1.57 | 2.59 | 6.33 |
2012 | 2055.50 | 21.94 | 19.26 | 15.02 | 14.38 | 2.68 | 0.64 | 1.58 | 2.52 | 4.70 |
2014 | 2061.09 | 20.64 | 19.83 | 13.85 | 14.34 | 2.28 | -0.49 | 1.58 | 2.54 | 4.63 |
2016 | 2064.19 | 20.35 | 19.69 | 16.62 | 15.57 | 0.66 | 1.05 | 1.58 | 2.51 | 4.96 |
2018 | 2066.80 | 19.59 | 20.49 | 28.46 | 13.53 | -0.90 | 14.93 | 1.61 | 2.44 | 5.25 |
2019 | 2080.90 | 19.30 | 20.60 | 31.30 | 15.10 | -1.26 | 16.21 | 1.61 | 2.44 | 5.23 |
2020 | 2095.86 | 18.77 | 24.02 | 36.11 | 17.75 | -5.25 | 18.37 | 1.61 | 2.49 | 4.87 |
2021 | 2108.98 | 18.98 | 23.26 | 23.62 | 21.14 | -4.28 | 24.80 | 1.64 | 2.49 | 4.91 |
SI-STAT, 2023
Total[%] | 0-14 years[%] | 15-64 years[%] | 65 + years[%] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1995 | -0.10 | -2.20 | -0.10 | 3.40 |
2000 | 0.20 | -2.60 | 0.50 | 2.20 |
2005 | 0.20 | -1.40 | 0.10 | 2.20 |
2010 | 0.72 | 1.13 | 0.51 | 1.27 |
2015 | 0.09 | 1.08 | -0.77 | 2.58 |
2019 | 0.68 | 0.98 | -0.06 | 2.94 |
2020 | 0.72 | 0.67 | 0.14 | 2.65 |
2021 | 0.63 | 0.61 | -0.04 | 2.76 |
2022 | -0.09 | 0.07 | -0.81 | 2.07 |
EUROSTAT, 2021
2000[no. persons/1000 inhabitants] | 2005[no. persons/1000 inhabitants] | 2006[no. persons/1000 inhabitants] | 2007[no. persons/1000 inhabitants] | 2008[no. persons/1000 inhabitants] | 2019[no. persons/1000 inhabitants] | 2020[no. persons/1000 inhabitants] | 2021[no. persons/1000 inhabitants] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EU-27 | 1.50 | 3.60 | 3.30 | 3.80 | 3 | 2 | -0.70 | -0.80 |
Lithuania | -5.80 | -2.60 | -1.40 | -1.50 | -2.30 | 0 | 0.60 | 3.70 |
Latvia | -2.30 | -0.20 | -1.10 | -0.30 | -1.10 | -6.40 | -7.60 | -9.30 |
Germany | 2 | 1 | 0.30 | 0.50 | -0.70 | 1.80 | -0.10 | 1 |
Poland | -10.60 | -0.30 | -0.90 | -0.50 | -0.40 | -0.40 | -3.10 | -4.90 |
Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.20 | -0.10 | -7 | -5 | -11.30 |
Estonia | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 3.10 | 0.90 | 1.30 |
Romania | -0.20 | -0.30 | -0.30 | 0 | 0.10 | -4.40 | -7.40 | -8.30 |
Ireland | 8.40 | 16 | 15.60 | 10.70 | 0.40 | 12.20 | 8.50 | 10.70 |
Portugal | 4.60 | 3.60 | 2.50 | 1.80 | 0.90 | 1.90 | 0.20 | -1.90 |
France | 2.80 | 3 | 1.40 | 1.10 | 1.30 | 2.10 | 1.80 | 3.20 |
Slovakia | -4.10 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 0.30 | -4.60 |
Hungary | 1.60 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.40 | 1.60 | -0.30 | -4 | -4.30 |
Netherlands | 3.60 | -1.40 | -1.60 | -0.10 | 1.90 | 7.20 | 3.90 | 6.60 |
Finland | 0.50 | 1.70 | 2 | 2.60 | 2.90 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 2.60 |
Greece | 2.70 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 3.20 | -0.60 | -3.40 | -20.70 |
Croatia | -4.40 | -5.40 | -44.10 | |||||
Austria | 2.20 | 6.10 | 3 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 4.80 | 3.50 | 5.20 |
Cyprus | 5.70 | 19.20 | 11.30 | 9.50 | 4.60 | 13.70 | 9 | 9.70 |
Denmark | 1.90 | 1.20 | 1.90 | 3.70 | 4.60 | 2.90 | 3 | 5.70 |
Belgium | 1.40 | 4.70 | 5.10 | 5.90 | 5.60 | 5.80 | 3.80 | 5.40 |
Malta | 2.30 | 4 | 5.30 | 4.20 | 5.90 | 41.70 | 3 | 9.40 |
Sweden | 2.80 | 3 | 5.60 | 5.90 | 6.10 | 9.50 | 5 | 7 |
Czech Republic | 0.60 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 8.20 | 6.90 | 4.10 | 0.70 | 2.10 |
Italy | 0.90 | 5.20 | 6.40 | 8.40 | 7.30 | -2.90 | -6.50 | -3.50 |
Slovenia | 1.40 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 7.10 | 9.20 | 7.20 | 6.20 | -0.90 |
Spain | 9.70 | 14.90 | 13.80 | 15.70 | 9.20 | 8.40 | 1.30 | 0.70 |
Luxembourg | 7.90 | 13.20 | 11.40 | 12.60 | 15.90 | 19.70 | 13.70 | 16.70 |
Eurostat, 2021
Projection of population[number] | |
|---|---|
2019 | 2080908 |
2020 | 2095314 |
2025 | 2114603 |
2030 | 2106316 |
2035 | 2094654 |
2040 | 2081622 |
2045 | 2065380 |
2050 | 2043751 |
2055 | 2017464 |
2060 | 1989404 |
2065 | 1952358 |
2070 | 1938253 |
2075 | 1917972 |
2080 | 1902751 |
2085 | 1893268 |
2090 | 1889004 |
2095 | 1888128 |
2100 | 1888364 |
Methodology
- Demografski kazalniki in načini njihovega izračunavanja, b.d. Dostopno na: https://www.stat.si/doc/pub/rr776-2002/met_izracun/izracun.htm.
- Plut, 2008. Globalno razmišljanje – lokalno delovanje: okoljska globalizacija, svetovno gospodarstvo in Slovenija. Ljubljana, Filozofska fakulteta, Oddelek za geografijo.
- Razpotnik, B., 2021. Prebivalstvo, metodološko pojasnilo. Dostopno na: https://www.stat.si/statweb/File/DocSysFile/7808.
- Spremenimo svet: Agenda 2030 za trajnostni razvoj. OZN, 2015.
- Strategija razvoja Slovenije 2030. Ljubljana: Služba Vlade RS za razvoj in evropsko kohezijsko politiko, 2017.
- Umar, b.d. Demografske spremembe. Dostopno na: https://www.umar.gov.si/teme/demografske-spremembe/.
- Zelena knjiga, 2005. Odziv na demografske spremembe: nova solidarnost med generacijami. Bruselj, Sporočilo komisije.
